Friday, 3 October 2014

Its our turn: For development

Its our turn: For development

The month of September is the month of Modiplomacy, sounding pretty successful in bringing the foreign investments into India and making the Indian Economy rejuvenate with his markup program Make in India. With Japan, China and US set to make a lead into this, Modi has also promised foreign, Indian entrepreneurs and NRI’s to facilitate and boots the business friendly environment in India. The current scenario shows that India’s GPD to increase by 5.6% in current financial year and by 6.5% in next financial year as per some independent survey agencies. Also already Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC, an American financial services company has revised India's rating from "Negative" to "Stable". If Modinomics plays well, the India’s GDP is about to increase many folds in near decades. This is ought to create jobs and increase standard of living, life expectancy and other vital parameters if we see a holistic picture of the Modi Government’s policies including Skill development, Jan-Dhan Yojna and Swaccha Bharat Abhiyan.
Many has raised concerns over industrialisation of Indian economy on the issue of Global warming. The more of the discussion is about that the industries look towards the developing countries as a dump yard of emissions. Kyoto Protocol, does not have any sanctions on emission for the Non-Annexure I countries, which includes India. The most of the develop world which boast on its economy have developed their economies by exploiting their colonies, emitting very high amount of carbon in their industrialisation period and left no space for others to develop. They not only exploited the natural and economic resources of their colonies, but also left these nations fight with many social problems such as illiteracy, poverty and high population growth.



Many has raised concerns over industrialisation of Indian economy on the issue of Global warming. The more of the discussion is about that the industries look towards the developing countries as a dump yard of emissions. Kyoto Protocol, does not have any sanctions on emission for the Non-Annexure I countries, which includes India. The most of the develop world which boast on its economy have developed their economies by exploiting their colonies, emitting very high amount of carbon in their industrialisation period and left no space for others to develop. They not only exploited the natural and economic resources of their colonies, but also left these nations fight with many social problems such as illiteracy, poverty and high population growth.
Today as country, India is third highest emitter of carbon in the air behind US and China. Even EU is ahead of India. 
Total carbon emission shown by size of balloon

For India to become a developed nation, to reach the development to the grass root level, considering current reforms by the new government and its response by the industrial sector, it would take atleast another 3-4 decades. Adding new dimension of global to the set of existing rules for the global warming will make the development a distant dream to the third world. Also we should not forget the per capita emission of the developing countries is very less as compared to the developed countries who are reaping the fruits of development.
Per capita carbon emission by size of balloon 

They carbon emission should be certainly based on the number of people of the country, because in the modern day principle of equality, every individual has an equal right to lead a happy and comfortable life. If discrimination is made on the basis of the country he lives, he will be denied of many of the important rights required for his personal liberty. Just for instance, if we consider that India undertakes a massive mission to decrease its dependency on fossil fuels and exploits all its renewable resources of energy in next five decades. We have to also consider that the energy need of India will increase but improvement in the technology will increase the efficiency which will offset the energy demand. This kind of study suggest that after 50 years, we will achieve only 37% of our energy coming from renewable sector and we will still depend on fossil fuel for the energy on large basis. But the worst is, the energy cost will increase five-fold. This is a very massive implication that we cannot blindly go for all greener technologies.
Also the technologies regarded green yesterday may not be proved that green today. The photo-voltaic solar panels, we studied as a green technology in our schools are produces recalcitrant sludge during its manufacturing phase. So if we perform Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) on thermal power plant and PV power unit, thermal power units turns out to be cleaner and greener.



Global warming skeptics
We all know, global warming is happening. But is it happening due to emission due to burning of fossil fuels? Greenhouse gases constitute a very small fraction of our atmosphere. The water vapour is the major gas causing Greenhouse effect. A small fraction of theses GHGs is carbon dioxide.


The carbon dioxide is a natural gases. This is emitted by almost all terrestrial animals during their life supporting process of respiration. Also the volcanos all over the world emit a large amount of carbon dioxide than we all together. Also there are many others facts which proves that global warming is not due to anthropogenic emission of carbon.

India’s role
So the question is, what should be India’s role in the current scenario regarding global warming. What I feel is that, today the science does not completely prove that is really global warming really anthropogenic or not. So maybe we might invest huge money and time by avoiding all that activities leading to emission of GHGs and then looking after our development and if after few decades, it is proved that global warming has nothing to do with anthropogenic carbon emission, we are at great loss!!!
So India should continue its march towards industrial and economic development keeping in view the holistic picture of our country. If at all the developed world cares for global warming, it should leave some space empty to emit carbon for the developing world and bring the whole world on same table f development. 

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